The Largest MLB Futures Card Ever Created
A Blog By Nick
Anybody that follows me, knows that I am a massive futures bettor. Over the last few years, I have made thousands of wagers on baseball. Nothing has profited like my futures cards. Since I have been posting publicly:
2022: +29.75u
2023: +9.92u
2024: +17.05u
Overall: +56.72u
When you invest in futures bets, you need to think of it as an investment. You put money into it, and at the end of the season, you collect that money. I know some people don’t care for futures, but I think it is the most profitable market in all of betting. You just have to have patience.
This Winter, I had been selling access to my futures channel on the Chalkboard app for $15 (my daily bets are free). A lot of these lines are now unavailable — I have been posting futures since December. If you missed out this year, get in early next year.
I have bets posted from:
Bet365 (365)
BetUS (BU)
BetOnline (BO)
Bovada (BV)
Caesar’s (CSR)
DraftKings (DK)
ESPN
FanDuel (FD)
MGM
Before We Dive In
My Scale for betting futures is:
.10u to 3u
Unit guide:
Posted units for minus odds are to WIN.
Posted units for plus odds are RISKED.
Some of these bets are bad:
I told you I’ve been shopping these since December. Some of these bets I don’t really care for anymore. I had my offseason predictions, and some went well, and others didn’t. I will state which bets I’m out on if I had to click tonight.
I hope you enjoy my emoji notes. I was not about to type all of these bets out again…
Team Wins
I am obsessed with the 2025 Red Sox. 3u Max on their over wins. I think they will win 90 games.
I got some insane value on: BOS, LAD, ARI, SDP, NYY, ATL, and CWS. I would still click the other lines that still exist (ATH, WSH, CIN, SEA, TEX, BOS). Some of the others have gotten out of control.
I probably wouldn’t click the Pirates. I thought they would add more offense, and Jared Jones is likely out the first half of the year. It could still hit, but I won’t be surprised if they go under.
The Nationals I think could win 80 games, so I double dipped on a Caesar’s special on them.
Team Futures
I told you, I am obsessed with the 2025 Red Sox. 3u Max on them to make the playoffs.
The A’s playoffs bet was a value play with
. That line has gotten stupid. Pass on that.I do think one of San Diego or New York misses the playoffs in the NL. I bet the San Diego fades before they signed Pivetta and Hart, who I actually really like. Preller did a great job salvaging their offseason. Since the Padres have signed those guys, the Mets have had some injuries to their already not great rotation. Alvarez out a couple of months as well.
The Orioles line has moved too. I’m not sure if I’d click it where it’s at now. The AL is really bad, and they could sneak in, despite having a pitiful rotation.
Please don’t bet the Pirates to win the Central. I’m an idiot for that one. I thought they would sign Santander (or any bat).
Awards
I am proud of nothing more than the value I got on JRod and Langford MVP. Those prices are long gone… I’d still bet JRod, and sprinkle Langford.
I’d probably pass on the Hendricks AL CPoY bet. I thought he would win the closer job, and he would get some extra votes coming back from cancer. Still a remarkable story there. Some good players competing for that award.
Sean Murphy broke rib(s). Pass on that Silver Slugger bet.
Adley 25-1 Gold Glove and Framber 50-1 are probably my two favorite bets on this card. Such stupid value, and such a funny bet on Framber.
Player Props
If you have a BetOnline account, go get that Bichette o.275 line. It’s a good bet.
DK posted some comical ERA lines a few weeks ago. Those should still be up as well.
Connor Norby is out 4+ weeks. Don’t bet his HR prop. If it’s still up, bet the under.
My Cole bet is going to void which makes me sad. I was very out on Cole this year, and I feel like that take was robbed from me. But on a serious note, I hope Cole recovers well.
Some of these counting stat bets were value plays. Don’t bet them if you can’t find a similar line (ex. Witt u33.5 HR, when all other books were around 30.5).
If you can find an Oneil Cruz special to go 30/30, bet that — and then DM me so I can as well.
Specials
It’s the year of Bo Bichette! Hits leader in 2021, 2022, and t10 in 2023. Got hurt last year and is now being totally dismissed. Contract year, lineup protection with Vlad Jr., and Santander. That line has moved a ton, but I’d sprinkle it still.
I’m pretty confident in that Josh Hader bet. I think the Astros will be in a lot of close games, and Hader is still elite. He should have positive regression in save opportunities this year.
That DBack > Padres bet I am less sure of now, vs when I clicked it. I’d pass on it, but I think it still hits. DBacks have better pitching depth, and probably a similar lineup as far as 2025 production goes.
This Halos bet is disgusting. But they open the season: CWS, STL, CLE, TBR. The path is there, and Trout can stay healthy for a couple of weeks right? RIGHT?
If you wanted to count, I did it for you. 83 bets! That’s my new record. I’m not proud of it (unless it’s a massive profit).
Thanks if you read all of this. Thanks even more if you supported my channel this winter. The offseason is actually my favorite time of the year. I get to watch LIDOM, and build my futures card.
I look forward to watching these bets as the season goes on. I hope you have tailed some of them.
If you want to tail my daily bets, join my chalkboard page (nicksMLBpicks). It’s free, and my exposure is much less — to put emphasis my futures card. My unit scale for daily bets is .10u-1u. 1u is a max play, which I probably won’t do any of this year. I am going to be very passive with daily bets this year. I have invested too much into my futures to potentially tank them with some flukey daily action.