Editor’s Note: All my graphics going forward will come directly from Stat Soldier. Go check it out by clicking here.
Before you commit to reading this blog, I have to advise you that there will be Yankee fan bias.
I apologize in advance.
Tomorrow I will post a blog with an argument for each team to make a World Series run paired with a reason why that team will fail to host the trophy.
That being said, let’s jump into it.
The Rotation:
Is the rotation the best one in baseball? No. Is it arguably a top-5 rotation with the 2026 American League Cy Young front-runner leading the charge? Yes.
Cam Schlitter, RHP (1.95 ERA)
Gerrit Cole, RHP (3.61 ERA)
Max Fried, LHP (2.80 ERA)
Carlos Rodon, LHP (2.67 ERA)
Will Warren, RHP (3.92 ERA)
Ryan Weathers, LHP {IL} (3.60 ERA)
The Yankees have a deep rotation; there is no doubting that. They also have a healthy balance of lefties and righties to deploy against opposing lineups. Ryan Weathers is currently stashed on the injured list, but he will be back soon. He has been on the injured list since August 23 with a left forearm flexor strain. How soon? I am guessing any day now, as Weathers threw a live batting practice session yesterday.
Say what you want, but it’s very hard to argue against a team that is putting up numbers like these:
3.24 ERA (1st MLB)
1,450 K (6th MLB)
65 QS (4th MLB)
1.17 WHIP (3rd MLB)
93 Wins (4th MLB)
.224 OBA (3rd MLB)
There is no argument that this team can’t pitch. With a talented rotation this deep, I have to be enthusiastic that the Yankees can compete with anyone in baseball.
The Bullpen:
Not going to beat around the bush. The bullpen is shaky. I felt a lot better last week when Clarke Schmidt was poised to return from injury as a stretch-bullpen role, but with him going immediately back on the injured list, I worry the pen can get stretched thin quickly. The one thing that is undeniable is that David Bednar is a lockdown closer, and I am confident in his ability to close out games in big moments.
David Bednar, RHP (2.47 ERA)
Brent Headrick, LHP (2.18 ERA)
Paul Blackburn, RHP (1.69 ERA)
John Schrieber, RHP (1.64 ERA)
Ryan Yarbrough, LHP (3.69 ERA)
Tim Hill, LHP (4.60 ERA)
Pair that with the sad news that, despite an attempt to return this season, Fernando Cruz is now ruled out for the entire postseason after the Yankees placed him on the 60-day IL. I want to believe the bullpen can deliver, but I think a large component of their success is based on how many innings the rotation can provide.
The Offense:
Health. Health. Health. I HAVE to look at the current injuries and hope for the best. With Judge saying that he will be back, Jazz coming back yesterday, and Grisham/Giancarlo taking swings, one can only dream of a lineup that looks like this when healthy.
1B: Paul Goldschmidt (R) / Ben Rice (L)
DH: Ben Rice (L) / Giancarlo Stanton (R)
RF: Aaron Judge (R) {IL}
CF: Cody Bellinger (L) / Trent Grisham (L)
LF: Heliot Ramos (R)
SS: George Lombard Jr. (R)
C: Austin Wells (L)
2B: Jose Caballero (R) / Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)
3B: Ryan McMahon (L)
Bench: Luis Garcia Jr., Spencer Jones, and Amed Rosario.
That is a very deep lineup. It would be a nightmare to game plan for this team when fully healthy. Not to mention if they catch fire. All of this relies on Aaron Judge coming back. He is the cog that makes this machine go, and everyone knows it.
The Conclusion
Do a lot of things have to go right in order for the Yankees to win? Absolutely. They might not beat Boston in the Wild Card series. The fact of the matter is that when you break down the current roster, it is hard not to be optimistic despite some health concerns.
The lineup is loaded and hits bombs. They lead the league in home runs despite Aaron Judge missing a ton of time this season and no Stanton all year long.
The rotation is strong and experienced. The bullpen is led by a veteran closer enjoying himself another fantastic season. The Yankees' success this postseason will come down to Aaron Judge’s health, the rotation giving the bullpen rest, and solid defense.
Do I think people should treat the Yankees as the favorite to win the World Series? No. Do I think they can get there and make it interesting. 100%.
The American League is down this year, and they certainly have the firepower to make a run.







I’d start Jones over Grish, but I’m shitting my pants either way.
I never complain about a fan’s home team bias. I only ask for the same courtesy when and if the Mets get back to contention.
I agree with most of your analysis. There is the old saying that good pitching beats good hitting. Even with the bullpen faltering as late, they can collectively pull it to for the playoffs. They have the horses. As for hitting, I wouldn’t count on Judge contributing, however there is just enough there to support good pitching. I think the Yankees can go all the way, but again , we’ve seen dark horses motor through.