Logan Webb: MLB’s Most Overlooked Ace
Logan Webb is dominating hitters with elite command, ground ball mastery, and a career-high strikeout rate—yet he still flies under the radar.
For years, Logan Webb has quietly been one of the most dominant starting pitchers in baseball. But despite elite production year after year, he's still left out of top-10 starter conversations across social media and network rankings. In 2025, he's not just living up to expectations—he's blowing past them.
By the Numbers: Webb’s 2025 (81.1 IP)
ERA: 2.55
xERA: 2.77
FIP: 2.14
xFIP: 2.31
K/9: 10.07
BB%: 5.1%
fWAR: 2.6 (2nd in MLB behind Paul Skenes)
GB%: 57.1% (6th in MLB)
His 2.14 FIP is 2nd only to Tarik Skubal—arguably the best lefty in the league. His 2.6 fWAR trails only Paul Skenes, the sport’s most electric arm. And Webb’s success is rooted in more than just raw results.
Groundball King
Since 2023, no pitcher in MLB has generated more ground balls than Logan Webb.
GB% since 2023: 59.1% (1st in MLB)
2025 GB%: 57.1% (6th in MLB)
It all starts with his sinker, which he throws 38% of the time. Webb commands the east-west lanes like few others—back-dooring it to righties and front-dooring it to lefties with elite precision.
Last season, his sinker posted a +17 Run Value, showcasing just how dominant the pitch has been over time. In 2025, it remains his foundation, continuing to limit damage and generate weak contact.
Pitch Arsenal Tweaks & Effectiveness
↑ Sinker
Usage holding steady around 38%
Still the foundation of his game—dominant east-west movement and groundball machine.
↑ Sweeper
Usage ↑ 7.2%
xBA: .226
Avg EV: 84.7 mph (↓ lowest in arsenal)
Velocity ↑ from 83.8 → 84.8 mph
Horizontal Break ↓ from 16.4 → 14.5 inches
Webb’s sweeper is now being thrown firmer with less sweep, improving how it tunnels off the sinker and making it harder to barrel up.
↓ Changeup
Usage ↓ from 41.6% → 19.8%
Whiff%: 38.0%
RPM: ~1512
Depth ↑ by over 1 inch
Slight ↓ in tail
↑ Usage in 2-strike counts
Instead of being overused, Webb’s changeup has become a more situational, late-count weapon. The added depth and reduced predictability are paying off.
Command + Contact Management
Webb continues to limit both walks and damage:
BB%: 5.1%
Barrel%: 5.0% (↑ Top 15% in MLB)
Hard-Hit%: ↓ 5.9% YoY
Barrel Rate: ↓ from 7.0% → 5.0%
His 6.9 ft of extension allows his pitches to play up, making them appear faster and more deceptive out of the hand.
Year-over-Year Development
Webb has added more swing-and-miss to his game:
K%: ↑ from 20.5% → 27.5%
CSW%: ↑ from 29.5% → 32.4%
SwStr%: ↑ from 9.6% → 12.1%
He’s also seen clear improvements in contact quality allowed:
xBA, xSLG, wOBA, xwOBA: All ↓ year-over-yea
Final Thoughts
Logan Webb has built his reputation on consistency, command, and one of the most effective sinkers in the sport, but 2025 is showing a new level of dominance.
He’s not just generating ground balls at an elite rate—something he’s led the league in since 2023—he’s now pairing that with a career-high strikeout rate and sharper secondary stuff. His sweeper has become more firm and better tunneled, his changeup is being used with intent as a true putaway pitch, and he’s made measurable gains in both whiff and called-strike rates. The jump in CSW% and SwStr% shows he’s not just pitching to contact anymore—he’s missing bats and finishing hitters off.
At the same time, he remains elite at limiting barrels, hard contact, and walks. He’s efficient, durable, and able to attack both lefties and righties with an east-west arsenal that few pitchers in baseball can match. Add in his elite extension and ability to command multiple offerings to both sides of the plate, and you’ve got a complete, well-rounded starter who rarely beats himself.
Webb has the numbers, the consistency, and the impact to be a headline name—and he is. However, he still doesn’t receive the attention he deserves. Given his pitching style in 2025, it's difficult to explain his frequent exclusion from the top-tier starter conversation.
If you enjoyed this breakdown, consider subscribing for more player analysis, advanced data threads, and in-depth looks across the league. Also, follow me on X