2025 MLB Award Predictions (Mid-Season Review)

A Blog By Dean

Dean Ciriaco

Jul 15, 2025

It is time for me to face the music and review my 2025 MLB Award predictions.

Spoiler, they are terrible. Here are my picks from March and how they are playing.

American League MVP- Mike Trout

.238 AVG/ 17 HR/ 41 RBI/ .836 OPS/ 1.0 bWAR

National League MVP- Juan Soto

.262 AVG/ 23 HR/ 70 RBI/ .905 OPS/ 3.9 bWAR

National League Cy Young- Sandy Alcantara

7.22 ERA/ 1.484 WHIP/ 60 ERA+/ -1.6 bWAR

American League Cy Young- Cole Ragans

5.18 ERA/ 1.29 WHIP/ 79 ERA+/ -0.2 bWAR

American League Champion- Red Sox

Ended the first half on 10 10-game win streak.

National League Champion- New York Mets

2nd in NL East. Need pitching!

World Series Winner- Boston Red Sox

Feeling good about this.

The only picks I feel okay about are the Red Sox and Juan Soto. The predictions I gave for Soto are not too far off from what he is producing. However, I will not be sticking with him for my new predictions.

NEW PREDICTIONS

American League MVP- Cal Raleigh

I added the Stathead graphic because it is the easiest to see their two stats. However, in fWAR, it is a lot closer (7.4 to 6.2)
Judge is the better hitter (obviously), but Raleigh is playing the hardest position in baseball better than anyone has in a decade. I added the last two catchers who won the MVP. Unless he falls off a cliff, he will have the best offensive season we have seen from a catcher in two decades.

National League MVP- Shohei Ohtani

I was hoping that someone else would come in and take down Ohtani. I’m not a hater, I just wanted to see someone different. It won’t be Pete Crow-Armstrong, and Juan Soto would need to have a generational second half. Even though Ohtani is only an “opener”, he has been shut down on the mound. By September, he will be going 6+ innings and bashing home runs in the same game; there is no stopping the inevitable.

National League Cy Young- Paul Skenes

Gambling odds have Zach Wheeler as the favorite. I don’t think that being the strikeout leader will win you the Cy Young. Voters have no problem choosing someone on a terrible team (look at Jacob DeGrom). So, I am now voting for Skenes.

American League Cy Young- Garrett Crochet

Pick Skubal, pick Crochet, it is a toss-up. Crochet leads the league in ERA+ and SO.
I want to see another Boston Cy Young, sue me.